After a disastrous 0-3 start, the Indianapolis Colts found their footing with a win in Week 4. On Monday evening, the Colts will aim to keep that positive momentum going, even in a difficult environment. Indianapolis visits the Baltimore Ravens in an AFC clash on Monday Night Football. Baltimore has won three games in a row after a season-opening loss against the Las Vegas Raiders.
Kickoff from M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists Baltimore as 7.5-point favorites at home, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 46.5 in the latest Ravens vs. Colts odds. Before you make any Colts vs. Ravens picks and NFL predictions, see what SportsLine's advanced computer model has to say.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. The model also enters Week 5 of the 2021 season on an incredible 124-82 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has set its sights on Colts vs. Ravens. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NFL betting lines and trends for Colts vs. Ravens:
- Ravens vs. Colts spread: Ravens -7.5
- Ravens vs. Colts over-under: 46.5 points
- Ravens vs. Colts money line: Ravens -360, Colts +285
- IND: The Colts are 2-2 against the spread this season
- BAL: The Under has hit in last two Ravens games
Why the Colts can cover
Indianapolis hasn't found its stride offensively this season, but the roster does have talent at every spot. Carson Wentz is a former top prospect, and he ranks in the top five of the NFL in throwing an interception on only 0.7 percent of attempts. Jonathan Taylor is one of the best pure runners in the NFL, generating 1,169 rushing yards as a rookie in 2020. Taylor has 274 rushing yards in four games this season, and he is producing 4.7 yards per carry. On the outside, Michael Pittman has 250 receiving yards in the last three games, and he is rounding into form as a primary target.
As a team, the Colts have committed only four turnovers this season, and that should help them to be more than competitive in this game. Baltimore is No. 24 in the NFL in passing defense this season, with bottom-10 marks in scoring percentage (opponents scoring on 31.1 percent of drives) and third down efficiency allowed (34 percent).
Why the Ravens can cover
Lamar Jackson is one of the most talented and effective offensive players in the NFL, as evidenced by a previous MVP honor. Jackson puts pressure on the opposition with elite rushing ability and a potent arm, and he currently leads the NFL in yards per pass completion (14.4). Jackson is a top-five player in yards per attempt (8.7), illustrating his efficiency, and his rushing numbers are off the charts for a quarterback. He ranks in the top 10 overall in rushing yards this season, generating 279 yards on the ground in four games, and Jackson is tied for third in the league in averaging 6.6 yards per carry.
Jackson also has intriguing weapons, including tight end Mark Andrews, and Marquise Brown is experiencing a breakout in his third season. Brown ranks in the top 10 of the NFL in receiving yards (326) and receiving touchdowns (three), and the speedy pass-catcher ranks seventh in the league, averaging a robust 17.2 yards per catch for the season.
How to make Ravens vs. Colts picks
SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, with both teams projected to generate more than 100 rushing yards. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see which side to back here.
So who wins Colts vs. Ravens on Monday Night Football? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Colts vs. Ravens spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NFL picks, and find out.
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